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The Harris Poll® #43, May 19, 2005 Partisanship is Not What Most of the American Public DesiresSizable majorities of U.S. adults favor both moderate and Independent candidates for office With the U.S. Senate edging closer to a showdown over the filibuster and judicial nominations, it may appear as if partisanship is a dominating influence; but a new Harris Poll shows that the American public may not feel the same. Regardless of ideology, when asked if they favor or oppose candidates who are conservative, moderate or liberal, over three-quarters (79%) of U.S. adults favor moderate candidates while only 48 percent favor conservative candidates and 41 percent favor liberal candidates. These are the results of a new Harris Poll of 2,322 U.S. adults surveyed online by Harris Interactive® between May 4 and 10, 2005. When asked about party label instead of ideology, there are interesting differences. A majority of all adults (67%) favor candidates who are Independent, while 46 percent favor Republicans and 56 percent favor Democratic candidates. Whether we look at it by party or ideology, there are certain commonalities. Whether a candidate is conservative or Republican, the public views them similarly. The public has a better perception of moderates over Independents, but both are still strongly favored. There is, however, a large difference between how the public perceives Democrats and liberal candidates, with the party label having higher favorability than the ideological label. Perceived influence of various ideologies Slightly over one-third (38%) of adults believe extreme liberals have too much influence in the Democratic Party, while 22 percent think they have too little influence. More than half (53%) believe extreme conservatives have too much influence in the Republican Party, compared to 10 percent who believe they have too little influence. Nearly half (48%) believe the Religious Right has too much influence in Washington, while one in five (21%) think they have too little influence. Perspectives of extremism One-quarter (26%) of Republicans believe the Religious Right has too much power in Washington and similar numbers (24%) think extreme conservatives have too much power in the Republican Party. Only 18 percent of Democrats think extreme liberals have too much influence in their party. Moderates and Independents similarly believe that extreme conservatives in the Republican Party (moderates, 64% and Independents, 63%) have too much influence and that extreme liberals in the Democratic Party have too much influence (moderates and Independents, 38% each). Harris Interactive also asked people to compare today’s politicians with those of 10 years ago. Some results are as follows:
As we draw closer to the judicial showdown, the American public’s views on party line voting are clear. More than four out of five (85%) adults believe we need more elected politicians who will vote independently rather than on party lines. While, not surprisingly, 94 percent of Independents and 90 percent of moderates want independent voting, so do 88 percent of liberals, 87 percent of Democrats, and 79 percent of Republicans and conservatives. TABLE 1 FAVOR/OPPOSE CANDIDATES BY IDEOLOGY "Thinking about politicians in general, do you generally favor or oppose candidates who are…?" Base: All Adults
Note 1: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. *Note 2: Split Sample TABLE 2 FAVOR/OPPOSE CANDIDATES BY PARTY "Thinking about politicians in general, do you generally favor or oppose candidates who are…?" Base: All Adults
Note 1: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. *Note 2: Split Sample
LEVEL OF INFLUENCE IN THE PARTY "Do you think extreme liberals in the Democratic Party have…?" Base: All Adults
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. TABLE 4 LEVEL OF INFLUENCE IN THE PARTY "Do you think extreme conservatives in the Republican Party have…?" Base: All Adults
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. TABLE 5 LEVEL OF INFLUENCE OF RELIGIOUS RIGHT "Do you think the Religious Right has…?" Base: All Adults
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
"Do you believe there were more or less politicians willing to vote regularly beyond their party label ten years ago as compared to today?" Base: All Adults
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. TABLE 7 CORRUPTION OF MEMBERS OF CONGRESS "Do you think Members of Congress are more or less corrupt than they were 10 years ago?" Base: All Adults
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. TABLE 8 PARTY LINE VOTING "Do you think we do or do not need more elected politicians who will vote independently, rather than vote on party lines?" Base: All Adults
Methodology In theory, with probability samples of this size, one could say with 95 percent certainty that the results for the overall sample have a sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points of what they would be if the entire U.S. adult population had been polled with complete accuracy. Sampling error for the following sub-sample results: conservatives (279), moderates (519), liberals (235), Republicans (360), Democrats (370) and Independents (308) is higher and varies. Unfortunately, there are several other possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be interviewed (nonresponse), question wording and question order, and weighting. It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. This online sample is not a probability sample. These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=572 |
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