Introduction to International Relations Theory

Empirical v. Normative Questions and Theories: You can ask two very different types of questions about world politics and develop two very different types of theories about international politics or US foreign policy decision-making: empirical questions (what happened? why?) and normative questions: what should have happened?
Empirical Theories: Understanding US Foreign Policy Decisions & World Politics
The central goal of human knowledge is to understand how & why various aspects of the world operate. This is true of all the natural sciences (e.g. biology, chemistry, astronomy, etc) and it is also true of the social sciences (e.g. psychology, sociology, history and, for our purposes in this course: political science). In each of these disciplines there is often disagreement about how & why that part of the world operates. These disagreements take the form of competing empirical theories. For example, different anthropologists pose different theories about how, where, and why mankind's ancestors managed to harness the use of fire. Psychologists debate about the extent to which human behavior is predetermined genetically or shaped as a result of experience. We will debate in this class different theories to explain US foreign policy decisions.
Empirical Analysis of IR: Understanding what happened, why it happened, and what will happen in future: What is the current reality of international relations - regardless of whether you like that reality of not? What happened historically? The first type of questions are about describing, explaining, and predicting how world politics and/or the foreign policy decision-making of a particular country actually operates. When we answer these type of questions we are engaged in developing empirical theory. As we shall see, there are, in fact, different empirical theories about both how the global system operates and how US Foreign Policy decisions are made. Not all political scientists agree about how best to describe, explain, or predict world politics or foreign policy decision-making. Different theoretical positions sometimes arrive at different conclusions of "what exists" because they make different assumptions about the fundamental nature of world dynamics, they define their terms differently, and they look for different types of information to answer those questions. This disagreement can be found in descriptive debates over "facts" but it is even more pronounced when looking at explanatory or predictive debates.
An example of a descriptive or factual question: Is Iran engaged in a program to develop nuclear weapons? The US Intelligence Community, the IAEA, and others are engaged in a heated "factual" debate about this very question. But the various answers to that questions turn on definitions and assumptions about what types of information are critical to make that determination (e.g. uranium enrichment v. weapon design development) and how much weight you assign to other types of intelligence information. An analogous type of factual debate occurs among International Relations Theories. How many countries are engaged in a nuclear weapons program? How much is the world warming? Different empirical theories come to different conclusions because they have different assumptions about the world, they define their terms differently, and they look for different types of information to answer the questions.
As examples of explanatory questions: Why did the US go to war with Iraq? Why did the US and the Soviet Union not go to war during the Cold War? How much of global warming over the past century can be explained by human activity and carbon emissions? Realists, Liberals, Marxists, Feminists, Constructivists, and Greens would explain these developments differently.
Finally, the most contentious of all, the predictive questions. Can Iran be deterred if it acquires nuclear weapons? What will happen if the US were to pull out its forces out of Iraq by 2010?
In the next class we will examine different empirical explanations of US foreign policy decisions. For the remainder of today's lecture, we will examine the elements of normative theories of US Foreign Policy.
Normative Theories to Guide Action
Normative Theories - Evaluating Politics: What Should Happen? What SHOULD world politics or US foreign policy look like? How do we know whether a particular policy is good or bad or what American foreign policy establishment should do? Once again, we will see that there are major disagreements about what makes for a good or bad policy or good or bad governmental action. In other words, different people hold different normative theories about what politics should look like. Here one might ask such questions as: Should the US have gone to war with Iraq? Should the US seek to promote liberal democracy in the middle East?
All normative theories include empirical assumptions about the way the world operates. Sometimes the difference between the policy prescriptions that derive from the normative theories derives from differences in these empirical assumptions. Other times it derives from different value judgments. Normative theories add to these empirical assumptions of reality - values or moral judgments. Just to give one example concerning the phenomenon of war; normative theories start with empirical assumptions about why wars occur and how to develop "peace" but they add normative judgments about issues about whether or not military force is ever morally justified and if so, when (pacifism v. "just war" v. realism).
Elements of Normative Theories
As we study each normative theory we will break them into the
following elements or parts.
The key thing to keep in mind about normative debate is that normative theories do not necessarily prescribe one course of action - what they do is set the terms of debate. To illustrate what I mean by this - there were realists who favored the war in Iraq and realists who opposed the war in Iraq. So to say that realist theory tells us whether we should have to go to war in Iraq is incorrect. However, realist theory does say that certain factors are legitimate to consider while other factors are illegitimate. Realist theory, for example, says that the human rights situation or promoting democracy in Iraq are irrelevant at best and serious distractions at worst. So to argue to go to war in Iraq to improve the human rights situation in Iraq is from the realist situation illegitimate. All realists would agree on this. What is legitimate to consider from realist theory is whether US national interests in the region are improved or impaired; e.g. does this action reduce or enhance the risk of a terrorist attack on the US? Does it eliminate the possibility that an adversary might gain access to WMD? Does it ease US access to oil? All of these questions, are from the standpoint of realist theory, legitimate questions to ask about the war in Iraq. So realist theory limits the debate to questions such as these - but it does not necessarily prescribe the outcome of this debate.
II. Ontological Assumptions About the Nature of World Politics:
A. Epistemological
Assumptions: How Do We Ascertain the "truth"? Does one "truth" exist?
Epistemological questions in philosophy concern how we know things about the
world. Natural Science, Realist Theory, Marxist Theory and Liberal Theory
begin from a common epistemological framework called "logical positivism" - meaning that we can derive
objective information about the world from our observations and methodologies as the "scientific method." They
might debate about what types of evidence to look for but they all agree that
the process of acquiring "truth" can be an objective one (assuming that we adopt
the "correct" measures of objective reality) Other theories (e.g.
B. Agent-Structure Problem: To explain this question it is useful to contrast the similar disciplines of sociology and psychology and their different approaches to explaining the phenomenon of violent crime. Sociology tends to look at the actions of any individual as the product of larger "structural" societal forces (e.g. socio-economic conditions, social norms, etc) while psychology tends to look at the actions of an individual as a product of the individual himself (the "agent") and the internal dynamics (or perhaps immediate family background) of that agent. But, in fact, both approaches have some element of the truth and to make it even more complicated both influence each other. The more "socio-path" individuals commit individual violent crimes the more they alter the structural elements such as the economic well-being of the community and social norms. On the other hand, the better the economic conditions, the fewer individuals may become socio-paths. Similar debates can be found in International Relations. Some theories emphasize structural factors in the world as a whole (bipolarity v. multi-polarity, global capitalism, the existence of nuclear weapons, patriarchy) while others emphasize the actions of individual "agents" (e.g. liberal democratic states seeking to engage increase in nation-building). Take the debate over the importance of the individual diplomat or leader. How important are individuals in history? Do individuals matter or is history a product of structural factors where individuals have little effect? For example, what is the impact of Hitler on world history? Would WW II have occurred without Hitler because of hyper-inflation and the wide-spread German resentment of the Versailles Treaty? There are even debates within theories on this point (let alone between theories) Structural Realists and Classical Realists disagree on this point. Structural realists (Kenneth Waltz) believe that forces such as the polarity of the world, the balance of power, and the geographic location of a particular country are so powerful that individuals more or less do not matter. Classical Realists like Machiavelli and Henry Kissinger would beg to differ arguing that the individual qualities of the "Prince" can have a major effect.
C. Nature of Man
Is human nature "good" "evil" or "self-interested?"
Are there gender differences in behavior? If so, are these gender differences a product of learned gender roles or are they the product of biological "essential" differences between men and women?
Is human nature universal? How profound are cultural differences? Are some cultures more in-tune with basic human nature or is human nature a product of a particular culture?
D. View of History Can you define any general trends to history? Is history a linear progression towards a more positive future? Cyclical - where nothing fundamental changes but "who is on top" and what puts them on top? Entropic? i.e. a descent into a more negative future?
E. Nature of World Order?
Key Actors? States? Civilization? (e.g. Muslim Caliphate), Non-Governmental Organizations or NGO's (e.g. MNCs, Amnesty International, Green Peace, etc)? Inter-governmental Organizations or IGOs (UN? WTO? EU? NATO? OPEC)? Transnational Social Movements? (TSMs) that are loose alliances of NGOs across countries and/or groups of people who identify with a particular group
Predominant form of Collective Identity? What is the primary identity of a particular group of people? National Identity (e.g. Iraqi); Tribal Identity? Ethnic Identity? Religious Identity? Gender? There is often a close link between key actors and predominate form of collective identity.
Key Level of Analysis and Key Causal Factors? For example, do you look at the systemic level of analysis for factors such as polarity or globalization or do you look at the level of culture or ideology within different countries?
Tacit or Formal Rules that Regulate the Actions of Key Actors? If so, what are these?
E. When produces cooperation? What produces conflict? In the last category, we really put together all the previous ontological assumptions. In particular, we will examine theories of the causes of war.
IV. Values: Normative Theories. A normative theory starts with certain empirical assumptions about the world but then adds value judgments. One obvious one concerns the moral attitude towards use of violence (e.g. for self defense). Pacifists believe that violence and war are never morally justified. Realists and "Just War" Liberals disagree. Marxists and Liberal Capitalists disagree over whether or not globalization and free trade are desirable policies or not.
V. Critique: Utility & Problems: All theories have internal contradictions and problems both in their empirical and normative applications. When examining theories you want to evaluate them in the following ways:
the validity of their assumptions. All theories make certain assumptions with respect to the nature of the ontological world and how we acquire knowledge about that world. You want to evaluate the validity of those assumptions.
the clarity and conceptual "baggage" of definitions. A common problem is discourse is that people do not properly define their terms. Or worse yet, they use the same term different ways. A famous critique of realist theory argue that realists used the term "balance of power" to mean very different and mutually-exclusive phenomena. Sometimes they used it to describe a structural force of nature (like gravity) that ultimately states will develop alliances to form a balance. Sometimes they used it to characterize the relative power between two alliances or countries. Sometimes they used to describe a normative goal that should guide a state's alliance and military policy - as in "pursue a balance or power." The point is that using the same term in logically contradictory ways weakens the theory. So look for clarity or lack of clarity in definitions. Also, look for the contextual baggage that accompanies the use of particular words. Feminists point out that much IR is filled with language that is gender-biased and in no sense objective. Incidentally, I use the term "empirical" to characterize one type of theories. But my use of that word also has epistemological baggage. By empirical I mean an understanding of the world that separates "facts" from "values." First, not everyone agrees that it is possible to separate facts and values. Secondly, "empiricism" is a term closely associated with logical positivism. It meant that there is an objective reality that can be ascertained through our empirical senses. This assumption itself may be false.
their internal logical consistency: Are there non sequitors or logical fallacies even within their own internal logic? Remember, here the concern is NOT with the external validity of their conclusions but, taking the theory in its own terms, does it make internal sense?
their external validity i.e. their descriptive, explanatory, and predictive utility: Empirical theories are supposed to help us make sense of the world. One theory is "better" than another theory to the extent that it is better at describing, explaining, and predicting the world (or certain sets of phenomena in the world). Another way to think of it is to view theory as all about solving puzzles or providing meaning. One important thing to realize is that no theory explains everything or solves all puzzles. In physics, Einstein looked (in vein) his whole life for one grand theory that would unite all the forces. He never found it. It may be the case that you come to the conclusion that you have to use different IR theories to explain different phenomena. Another way to look at this is to view theories as paradigms realizing that in explaining some puzzles they actually obfuscate other puzzles. Also, some theories might have high predictive utility but very little descriptive or explanatory utility. Theories must also tell a story about the world not just make predictions about the world.
their normative utility: Finally, a normative theory about politics must provide guidance to individuals, groups, societies, governmental policy-makers as they make decisions. The more that a theory relies on structural factors (e.g. polarity) the less useful it will be for guiding policy (as it is difficult for one state to influence the polarity of the system). That does not mean that that theory is a bad theory in empirical terms just that it has low normative utility. One critique of Deconstructionist Theories and many Constructivist Theories is that they may have high descriptive and explanatory utility but they provide little or no normative guidance to individuals or policy-makers. Keep in mind that a theory can have normative utility even if it does not tell what action a state should pursue in a particular situation - so long as it provides guidance on how to frame the moral debate. Realists disagree about whether the War in Iraq was a good policy for the US to pursue. Some Realists say that it was necessary because Saddam had a record of threatening an important geo-political region of the world vital for US economic interests. He had initiated wars against Iran and Kuwait and, at one point, potentially threatened Saudi Arabia. It would not be in American national interests to have one hegemonic state seize control of one-third of the World's oil. Also, Saddam Hussein had an interest in WMD (even if we exaggerated the extent of this program). It was not in American interest to wait until he might acquire those weapons. Other realists might argue that Saddam could have been contained by standard deterrence in the unlikely event that he was able to acquire nuclear weapons. To these realists the first Gulf War made sense to keep him from controlling oil in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. But the second Gulf War was counter-productive to American interests. It diverted finite troops, intelligence assets, and money from the real threat from Al Qaeda It has eroded the quality of the US Army and Marines to respond to a future threat elsewhere. Finally, it put an tremendous burden on the US economy. But note what the realists are NOT debating about: human rights operations or promoting democracy in Iraq. For realists, it is illegitimate to debate about moral issues. So Realist theory does have normative utility because it frames the debate.
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Schedule |
Realist Theory |